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We now fear the taxman more than the insurer

We now fear the taxman more than the insurer

For the first time in this survey's history, government charges are the cost businesses dread most. That is not a tax story. It is a warning.

For as long as I have been roasting, the renewal letter you opened with one eye shut was the insurance one. Premiums climbed, you swore, you paid, you moved on. Insurance was the villain of the cost story, and it had the role for years.

Not any more. The new Business NSW conditions report has taxes, levies and government charges sitting above insurance as the number one cost concern in the state. First time it has ever happened. Sit with that for a second. Of every pressure on a business right now, the one owners fear most is not a supplier, not the rent, not wages. It is the charges that land before you have sold a single cup.

Let me be fair before I sharpen up, because I am not the burn-it-all-down type. Roads get built. The brigade turns up. Someone sweeps the footpath outside the roastery. A working state costs money and we all chip in, and I would rather pay into something that functions than live somewhere that does not. No argument there.

Here is the problem, and it is a real one. Every other cost in my business flexes. A quiet week and I buy less green coffee. Orders dip and the freight bill dips with them. Even wages move if I am honest about the roster. The government line does not move. Payroll tax once you trip the threshold. The emergency services levy quietly stapled to your insurance, so you cop both rises in the one hit. Council, licensing, WorkCover. None of it cares whether you had a good month or a shocker. It is the one cost that is completely deaf to how the business is actually going.

That is what has shifted in owners' heads. It is not that the charges are new. It is that in a year where revenue is sliding for half the businesses in the survey, a fixed cost that will not budge becomes the scariest thing on the page. When everything else is falling and one big number just sits there with its arms folded, that number becomes the villain.

So what do you do, short of moving the roastery north and writing angry letters. Two things, and only one of them helps.

The useless one is complaining without counting. There is plenty of that about, and it changes nothing.

The useful one is this. Go and total your government line for the last twelve months, all of it, in one place. Payroll tax, levies, licences, compliance, the lot. I would put money on the figure being bigger than your gut thinks, because these charges are designed to arrive separately so you never see them stacked. Once you can see the real number, you can plan around it, time the big ones, and walk into any conversation about them with a figure in your hand instead of a feeling.

The deeper point is for the people in Macquarie Street, if any of them read coffee blogs. When your charges become the single thing business fears most, ahead of every market force on earth, you have stopped being the shelter from the storm. You have become part of the weather. This survey is the first time the data has said that out loud, and someone up there should be losing sleep over it.

I will keep paying my share. I just want to be able to find it on a page first.

Stay caffeinated. I'm out.

Sources: Business NSW, NSW Business Conditions report, June 2026.